Showing posts with label bayesian. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bayesian. Show all posts

Bayesian Networks: A Practical Guide to Applications (Statistics in Practice) Review

Bayesian Networks: A Practical Guide to Applications (Statistics in Practice)
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Publisher's description exaggerates the book's pedagogical value; it is a collection of short essays describing applications, and authors do not seem especially concerned with theory. Quality is variable, editorial effort missing-in-action (typos galore) - a typical Wiley book, and an easy return decision.


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Bayesian Networks, the result of the convergence of artificial intelligence with statistics, are growing in popularity. Their versatility and modelling power is now employed across a variety of fields for the purposes of analysis, simulation, prediction and diagnosis.

This book provides a general introduction to Bayesian networks, defining and illustrating the basic concepts with pedagogical examples and twenty real-life case studies drawn from a range of fields including medicine, computing, natural sciences and engineering.

Designed to help analysts, engineers, scientists and professionals taking part in complex decision processes to successfully implement Bayesian networks, this book equips readers with proven methods to generate, calibrate, evaluate and validate Bayesian networks.

The book:


Provides the tools to overcome common practical challenges such as the treatment of missing input data, interaction with experts and decision makers, determination of the optimal granularity and size of the model.


Highlights the strengths of Bayesian networks whilst also presenting a discussion of their limitations.


Compares Bayesian networks with other modelling techniques such as neural networks, fuzzy logic and fault trees.


Describes, for ease of comparison, the main features of the major Bayesian network software packages: Netica, Hugin, Elvira and Discoverer, from the point of view of the user.


Offers a historical perspective on the subject and analyses future directions for research.

Written by leading experts with practical experience of applying Bayesian networks in finance, banking, medicine, robotics, civil engineering, geology, geography, genetics, forensic science, ecology, and industry, the book has much to offer both practitioners and researchers involved in statistical analysis or modelling in any of these fields.

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Decision Analysis for Healthcare Managers Review

Decision Analysis for Healthcare Managers
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This is an interesting book that covers a variety of tools helpful to decision makers in the health industry. While these tools have been individually presented in other papers and books, I think this is probably the first book that has it all together. It first covers the very basics of what decision analysis is, as well as the fundamentals of probability. Then there are full chapters on decision trees, modeling group decisions, root-cause analysis, ... (see the table of contents). Within each chapter, there are real-world driven examples from the health industry with explanations of the detailed process in conducting the analysis (e.g. with sample interviews with the decision makers to get the parameters). I think it's a very good reference if you want to learn a decision analysis tool in detail with some health care examples or as a text book on the subject. It doesn't appear to be written to give a brief overview of the field just to satisfy one's curiosity (though the first chapter could help with that). It's more targeted at those who want to learn all or selected concepts and tools in detail.

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The first part of the book explains the various analytical tools that simplify and accelerate decision making. Learn about tools that help you determine causes, evaluate choices, and forecast future events. For occasions when a group, rather than an individual, has to make a decision, you will also learn what tools can help you create group consensus. The second half of the book shows you how to apply analytical tools to different healthcare situations, including comparing clinician performance, determining the causes for medical errors, analyzing the costs of programs, and determining the market for new services. Many practical examples walk you step-by-step through common decision-making scenarios.

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A Practical Guide to Ecological Modelling: Using R as a Simulation Platform Review

A Practical Guide to Ecological Modelling: Using R as a Simulation Platform
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This is an awesome book, primarily about modeling, less about R. There are many "introduction to R" books available, perhaps too many.
This book and its accompanying software in the several R packages are an excellent way to both learn the material, and to explore other related problems.
Naturally, the course is primarily what you bring to it. Soetaert and Hermann provide a comprehensive introduction, heavily illustrated by examples. The mathematics is excellent, and essential.

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Mathematical modelling is an essential tool in present-day ecological research. Yet for many ecologists it is still problematic to apply modelling in their research. In our experience, the major problem is at the conceptual level: proper understanding of what a model is, how ecological relations can be translated consistently into mathematical equations, how models are solved, steady states calculated and interpreted. Many textbooks jump over these conceptual hurdles to dive into detailed formulations or the mathematics of solution. This book attempts to fill that gap. It introduces essential concepts for mathematical modelling, explains the mathematics behind the methods, and helps readers to implement models and obtain hands-on experience. Throughout the book, emphasis is laid on how to translate ecological questions into interpretable models in a practical way.The book aims to be an introductory textbook at the undergraduate-graduate level, but will also be useful to seduce experienced ecologists into the world of modelling. The range of ecological models treated is wide, from Lotka-Volterra type of principle-seeking models to environmental or ecosystem models, and including matrix models, lattice models and sequential decision models. All chapters contain a concise introduction into the theory, worked-out examples and exercises. All examples are implemented in the open-source package R, thus taking away problems of software availability for use of the book. All code used in the book is available on a dedicated website.

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Bayesian Data Analysis, Second Edition (Chapman & Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science) Review

Bayesian Data Analysis, Second Edition (Chapman and Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science)
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Note, this is a review of the first edition.
Overview
This book was the textbook used at the University of Wisconsin-Madison for the graduate course in Bayesian Decision and Control I during the fall of 2001 and 2002. It strikes a good balance between theory and practical example, making it ideal for a first course in Bayesian theory at an intermediate-advanced graduate level. Its emphasis is on Bayesian modeling and to some degree computation.
Prerequisites
While no Bayesian theory is assumed, it is assumed that the reader has a background in mathematical statistics, probability and continuous multi-variate distributions at a beginning or intermediate graduate level. The mathematics used in the book is basic probability and statistics, elementary calculus and linear algebra.
Intended audience
This book is primarily for graduate students, statisticians and applied researchers who wish to learn Bayesian methods as opposed to the more classical frequentist methods.
Material covered
It covers the fundamentals starting from first principles, single-parameter models, multi-parameter models, large sample inference, hierarchical models, model checking and sensitivity analysis (model checking and sensitivity analysis are especially well covered), study design, regression models, generalized linear models, mixture models and models for missing data. In addition it covers posterior simulation and integration using rejection sampling and importance sampling. There is one chapter on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation (MCMC) covering the generalized Metropolis algorithm and the Gibbs sampler.
Over 38 models are covered, 33 detailed examples from a wide range of fields (especially biostatistics). Each of the 18 chapter has a bibliographic note at the end. There are two appendixes: A) a very helpful list of standard probability distributions and B) outline of proofs of asymptotic theorems.
Sixteen of the 18 chapters end with a set of exercises that range from easy to quite difficult. Most of the students in my fall 2001 class used the statistical language R to do the exercises.
The book's emphasis is on applied Bayesian analysis. There are no heavy advanced proofs in the book. While the proofs of the basic algorithms are covered there are no algorithms written in pseudo code...Additional books of related interest
1) Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis, James Berger, second edition. Emphasis on decision theory and more difficult to follow than Gelman's book. Covers empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis. More philosophical challenging than Gelman's book.
2) Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, Robert and Casella. Very mathematically oriented book. Does a good job of covering MCMC.
3) Monte Carlo Methods in Bayesian Computation, Ming-Hui Chen, Qi-Man Shao, Joseph George Ibrahim. An enormous number of algorithms related to MCMC not covered elsewhere. If you need MCMC and need an algorithm to implement MCMC this is the book to read.
4) Monte Carlo Strategies in Scientific Computing, Jun S. Liu. Covers a wide range of scientific disciplines and how Monte Carlo methods can be used to solve real world problems. Includes hot topics such as bioinformatics. Very concise. Well written, but requires effort to understand as so many different topics are covered. This book is my most often borrowed book on Monte Carlo methods. Jun S. Liu is a big gun at Harvard.
5) Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems. Cowell, Dawid, Lauritzen, Spiegelhalter. Covers the theory and methodology of building Bayesian networks (probabilistic networks).

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Incorporating new and updated information, this second edition of THE bestselling text in Bayesian data analysis continues to emphasize practice over theory, describing how to conceptualize, perform, and critique statistical analyses from a Bayesian perspective. Its world-class authors provide guidance on all aspects of Bayesian data analysis and include examples of real statistical analyses, based on their own research, that demonstrate how to solve complicated problems. Changes in the new edition include:
Stronger focus on MCMC
Revision of the computational advice in Part III
New chapters on nonlinear models and decision analysis
Several additional applied examples from the authors' recent research
Additional chapters on current models for Bayesian data analysis such as nonlinear models, generalized linear mixed models, and more
Reorganization of chapters 6 and 7 on model checking and data collectionBayesian computation is currently at a stage where there are many reasonable ways to compute any given posterior distribution. However, the best approach is not always clear ahead of time. Reflecting this, the new edition offers a more pluralistic presentation, giving advice on performing computations from many perspectives while making clear the importance of being aware that there are different ways to implement any given iterative simulation computation. The new approach, additional examples, and updated information make Bayesian Data Analysis an excellent introductory text and a reference that working scientists will use throughout their professional life.

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Bayesian Core: A Practical Approach to Computational Bayesian Statistics (Springer Texts in Statistics) Review

Bayesian Core: A Practical Approach to Computational Bayesian Statistics (Springer Texts in Statistics)
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I have used 'Bayesian Core' to teach Bayesian statistics to a class of Masters students majoring in finance, statistics or business with an undergraduate mathematics/statistics background and found it to be quite a good book for this purpose. I would have to disagree though with the previous reviewer (A.L.H Mayne) and suggest that this book could also be good for a practitioner, provided they have some prior statistical and mathematical understanding. A limitation for self guided study is the absence of solutions to exercises or hints necessary to ensure understanding for some of the exercises. I would also have to disagree with the previous reviewer over what is or what is not discussed in the book! The statement "conjugacy is mentioned in exercise 2.10 on page 22 with no discussion" is simply not true, the entire page preceding this exercise discusses conjugate priors in particular and they are subsequently used and outlined in the following chapters. There is also considerable attention paid in the book to the use of improper priors, in particular with respect to the implications of using improper priors for the estimation of Bayes factors (Chapter 3). A more thorough description of Jeffrey's Lindley paradox could be provided but a more complete discussion of this seems outside the scope of the book. Similarly, outlining the "historical antecedents ..." and more "...theory" about Jeffrey's prior than what is already provided, while interesting and important in its own right, is not necessarily mandatory reading for the student or practitioner who seeks a practical introduction to the Bayesian approach. To highlight "The implementation of the Monte Carlo method is straightforward" without adding the next few words used in the book "at least on a formal basis" seems terribly insincere and pedantic.
What the book is? The book presents a Bayesian approach to the analysis of topics commonly analysed in statistics designed to allow the reader to quickly grasp the essential elements of Bayesian principles and to put this into practice with examples using R code (simple computing syntax) provided on the website. There are surely limitations of this approach (albeit also acknowledged by the authors!) namely a less than full treatment of topics and of theoretical derivations for approaches. Some of the exercises are also difficult and these exercises could well do with hints being provided or a short statistical annotation.



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This Bayesian modeling book is intended for practitioners and applied statisticians looking for a self-contained entry to computational Bayesian statistics. Focusing on standard statistical models and backed up by discussed real datasets available from the book website, it provides an operational methodology for conducting Bayesian inference, rather than focusing on its theoretical justifications. Special attention is paid to the derivation of prior distributions in each case and specific reference solutions are given for each of the models. Similarly, computational details are worked out to lead the reader towards an effective programming of the methods given in the book.

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Bayesian Statistical Modelling (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics) Review

Bayesian Statistical Modelling (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)
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Congdon presents a very nice and modern treatment of Bayesian methods and models emphasizing implementation using BUGS or WINBUGS. The book covers Bayesian models for regression including linear, log-linear, robust and nonparametric regression. Covers association and classification, mixture models, latent variables, problems of missing data, survival analysis, hierarchical models for pooling information, time series and other correlated data methods (e.g. spatial processes), multivariate analysis, growth curves and model assessment criteria.
The book is loaded with techniques and applications covering a wide variety of topics with reasonable depth.
It also has a very large bibliography with many very relevant and useful references. But there is also a negative side to the bibliography. It was not carefully proofread and there are some annoyances as you will see the same reference listed two, three or more times in the bibliography. Also for such a nice reference text it should have included an author index as well as an ordinary index.
Gibbs sampling is one of the primary estimation techniques in the book but the details are put off until section 10.1 where we get a nice introduction to Gibbs sampling and also the Metropolis algorithm with several excellent references.
This is a good book to start implementing Bayesian methods through the MCMC technique. It contains mostly medical applications which is a nice feature for biostatisticians.


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Bayesian methods combine the evidence from the data at hand with previous quantitative knowledge to analyse practical problems in a wide range of areas. The calculations were previously complex, but it is now possible to routinely apply Bayesian methods due to advances in computing technology and the use of new sampling methods for estimating parameters. Such developments together with the availability of freeware such as WINBUGS and R have facilitated a rapid growth in the use of Bayesian methods, allowing their application in many scientific disciplines, including applied statistics, public health research, medical science, the social sciences and economics.
Following the success of the first edition, this reworked and updated book provides an accessible approach to Bayesian computing and analysis, with an emphasis on the principles of prior selection, identification and the interpretation of real data sets.
The second edition:
Provides an integrated presentation of theory, examples, applications and computer algorithms.
Discusses the role of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in computing and estimation.
Includes a wide range of interdisciplinary applications, and a large selection of worked examples from the health and social sciences.
Features a comprehensive range of methodologies and modelling techniques, and examines model fitting in practice using Bayesian principles.
Provides exercises designed to help reinforce the reader's knowledge and a supplementary website containing data sets and relevant programs.

Bayesian Statistical Modelling is ideal for researchers in applied statistics, medical science, public health and the social sciences, who will benefit greatly from the examples and applications featured. The book will also appeal to graduate students of applied statistics, data analysis and Bayesian methods, and will provide a great source of reference for both researchers and students.
Praise for the First Edition:
"It is a remarkable achievement to have carried out such a range of analysis on such a range of data sets. I found this book comprehensive and stimulating, and was thoroughly impressed with both the depth and the range of the discussions it contains." – ISI - Short Book Reviews
"This is an excellent introductory book on Bayesian modelling techniques and data analysis" – Biometrics
"The book fills an important niche in the statistical literature and should be a very valuable resource for students and professionals who are utilizing Bayesian methods." – Journal of Mathematical Psychology

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Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods for Data Analysis, Second Edition Review

Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods for Data Analysis, Second Edition
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This book features a deep and focused lesson on Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods. It goes through the key topics as conjugate priors, MCMC methods (non iteratives and iteratives as the well known Gibbs samplining and metropolitis hastings algorithms), model selection methods (as bayes factor) and issues related as model robusteness.
The Approach is increasingly formal and deeply complex, allowing for getting the basics or diving into more complex knowledge according to your former background. You need at least a good understanding of Frequentist statistic to be able to follow the reasonings. Each chapter allow you to stop at some point without losing the thread. Last part of the book is in fact deep knowledge demanding.
The most interesting point of this book according to my very limited statistics background is that it makes good comparations with the frequentist approach (classical approaches as confidence intervals and point estimators), checking performance of either method. Even, it features some combination of both approaches getting some bayessian intervals.
As a negative point, I would say that examples are hard to follow for someone with limited bakground and too much complex. They really do not clear me up enough.
All in all, is a very profitable book for jumping into bayesian methods.

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Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition (Chapman & Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science) Review

Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition (Chapman and Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science)
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I like this book a lot. It's not the book that I would've written, and that's a good thing. Buying Carlin and Louis along with our book will give you two perspectives on applied Bayesian statistics as it is practiced in the 21st century. Compared to our book, Carlin and Louis offer the following:
- Discussion of the debates over Bayesianism within the statistical community, culminating in chapter 5, which covers the links between Bayes, empirical Bayes, and frequentist methods of evaluating statistical procedures.
- A crisp presentation of Bayesian computation (chapter 5), which offers a different perspective than ours.
- A chapter on experimental design including several biomedical examples. This chapter should be useful to a lot of people, I think.
- Near the end of the book, discussion of several classes of models--longitudinal analysis, survival analysis, spatial models, clinical trials, and others--where I often think, "What's would a Bayesian do here?"
I don't think Carlin and Louis have made our own Bayesian Data Analysis obsolete but I do think their book is a great complement to ours, with a slightly different perspective, strong coverage of the theoretical issues of point and interval estimation, and a bunch of compelling biomedical examples.

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Broadening its scope to nonstatisticians, Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition provides an accessible introduction to the foundations and applications of Bayesian analysis. Along with a complete reorganization of the material, this edition concentrates more on hierarchical Bayesian modeling as implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and related data analytic techniques. New to the Third Edition New data examples, corresponding R and WinBUGS code, and homework problems Explicit descriptions and illustrations of hierarchical modeling-now commonplace in Bayesian data analysisA new chapter on Bayesian design that emphasizes Bayesian clinical trialsA completely revised and expanded section on ranking and histogram estimationA new case study on infectious disease modeling and the 1918 flu epidemicA solutions manual for qualifying instructors that contains solutions, computer code, and associated output for every homework problem-available both electronically and in printIdeal for Anyone Performing Statistical Analyses Focusing on applications from biostatistics, epidemiology, and medicine, this text builds on the popularity of its predecessors by making it suitable for even more practitioners and students.

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Financial Modeling Under Non-Gaussian Distributions (Springer Finance) Review

Financial Modeling Under Non-Gaussian Distributions (Springer Finance)
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This book is an outstanding a clear presentation of non-Gaussian financial modeling. In financial markets, the Gaussian curve or bell curve, is not accurate in that most markets are skewed (a predisposition to grow on average, not zero) and fat-tailed (rare events such as market crashes happen more often than a Gaussian curve would suggest). Therefore, non-Gaussian modeling is essential to make money in the market or assess risk. This book goes through all the new techniques of non-Gaussian modeling. It does an exceptional job discussing the GARCH generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. This is but a fancy word for fluctuations in volatility over time pretty much dependent on recent fluctuations. It works very well I must say empirically, and has tripled the rationality and profitability of my portfolio - especially one of the versions of the GARCH over the others reviewed - but which one I'd rather not say, for obvious reasons ;) The book is weakest at page 183 or so, with the models and I was rather disappointed with the exclusion of the market crash of the 80s in the empirical analysis - wouldn't rare events be the main reason for improving non-Gaussian modeling? Anyway it's rather poor, but thorough, with additive and multivariate GARCHes but the fault lies with the faultiness of the theories not the authors, at least they're encyclopedic. The book picks up at the end with copulas, and a complete discussion of non-Gaussian option pricing. The review of BSM is appreciated and actually well-done, and a nice reminder of what we are trying to improve on exactly. I think this is a most incredible book, very clearly written, and at times, quite an enjoyable read for such a topic. All it takes is multivariate calculus and basic statistics, but more math ability will make the implications and comments breathtaking at times. I often find myself inspired by a passage or footnote to create a whole subroutine in R or python. I think avoiding Bayesian topics and Monte Carlo was disappointing, but wise in terms of focus. A great book for graduate mathematics in applications of statistics or stochastic calculus, or a good book for modeling fundamentals in economics or business management at the post-graduate level.


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Missing Data in Longitudinal Studies: Strategies for Bayesian Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis (Chapman & Hall/CRC Monographs on Statistics & Applied Probability) Review

Missing Data in Longitudinal Studies: Strategies for Bayesian Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis (Chapman and Hall/CRC Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability)
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Issues of missing data in longitudinal studies are very important in the design and analysis of clinical trials. This is such an important statistical topic, that many excellent books have been written about it. One of the earliest and a landmark text was the book by Rubin and Little which was recently updated in the second edition. Mixed linear models for longitudinal data provide an effective method for dealing with several types of missingness as does multiple imputation. Pattern mixture models are also very useful. Molenberghs and Kennard, Verbeke and Molenberghs and Rubin all cover these topic well in their excellent texts.
What then is the advantage of this text by Daniels and Hogan?
1. It is slightly more current than the others
2. It combines theory and application very nicely
3. A series of seven real data sets from real clinical trials and epidemiologic studies are presented up front in Chapter 1 and used throughout to illustrate practical advantages and disadvantages of the various techniques covered in the latter chapters
4. It covers Bayesian modeling and sensitivity analysis in more depth that most of its competitors
Only Molenberghs and Kennard match it in the depth of coverage on theory and applications. But they do not provide the coverage of Bayesian methods the way Daniels and Hogan do.
For these reasons I recommend this book to the practicing biostatisticians working on clinical trials even if the texts listed below are alresdy on their bookshelves.
I) Diggle, P. J., Heagerty, P., Liang, K.-Y. and Zeger, S. L. (2002). "Analysis of Longitudinal Data" 2nd Edition. Oxfrod University Press, Oxford.
II) Fitzmaurice, G. M., Laird, N.M. and Ware, J. H. (2004). "Applied ongitudinal Analysis". John Wiley & Sons, New York.
III) Little, R. J. A. and Rubin, D. B. (2002) "Statistical Analysis with Missing Data" 2nd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, New York
IV) Molenberghs, G and Kennard, M. G. (2007). "Missing Data in Clinical Studies" John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
V) Molenberghs, G. and Verbeke, G. (2005). "Models for Discrete Longitudinal Data". Springer-Verlag, New York.
VI) Pinheiro, J. C. and Bates, D. M. (2000). "Mixed Effects Models in S and S-Plus". Springer-Verlag, New York.
VII) Rubin, D. B. (1987). "Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys" John Wiley & Sons, New York.
VIII) Tsiatis, A. A. (2006). "Semiparametric Theory and Missing Data" Dpringer-Verlag, New York.
IX) Verbeke, G and Molenberghs, G. (1997). "Linear Mixed Models in Practice: A SAS-Oriented Approach" Springer-Verlag, New York.
X) Verbeke, G and Molenberghs, G. (2000). "Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data" Springer-Verlag, New York.


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Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete-Data Perspectives (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics) Review

Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete-Data Perspectives (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)
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Professor Gelman has edited a book containing 29 articles dealing primarily with real applications of Bayesian methods for causal inference and the treatment of incomplete data.
It contains a collection of the best work in applied statistics by prominent statisticians. In addition to learning the wide variety of problems that have been solved using the Bayesian approach (particularly in the medical field) the reader can learn and appreciate the power and ease of interpretation of Bayesian results.

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This book brings together a collection of articles on statistical methods relating to missing data analysis, including multiple imputation, propensity scores, instrumental variables, and Bayesian inference. Covering new research topics and real-world examples which do not feature in many standard texts. The book is dedicated to Professor Don Rubin (Harvard). Don Rubin has made fundamental contributions to the study of missing data.
Key features of the book include:
Comprehensive coverage of an imporant area for both research and applications.
Adopts a pragmatic approach to describing a wide range of intermediate and advanced statistical techniques.
Covers key topics such as multiple imputation, propensity scores, instrumental variables and Bayesian inference.
Includes a number of applications from the social and health sciences.
Edited and authored by highly respected researchers in the area.


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Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data (Chapman & Hall/CRC Monographs on Statistics & Applied Probability) Review

Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data (Chapman and Hall/CRC Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability)
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I've bought several spatial statistics books over the years and found they generally fall into one of two categories; oversimplified or cover-to-cover matrix notation, neither of which is very useful for my research. However, this book is "just right," bridging these two extremes. It briefly covers the basics of both point and areal analysis, then gives the reader the tools for more advanced (i.e., realistic) analysis. They devote a chapter to Bayesian basics, which is needed for the last 4 or 5 chapters. The last few chapters weave together a detailed discussion on a variety of hierarchical models and current published results. Most importantly this book offers quite a bit of the necessary R and Winbugs code. Although many of their examples are from the public health world, the techniques and code are easily adapted to natural resource data - my personal focus.

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Among the many uses of hierarchical modeling, their application to the statistical analysis of spatial and spatio-temporal data from areas such as epidemiology And environmental science has proven particularly fruitful. Yet to date, the few books that address the subject have been either too narrowly focused on specific aspects of spatial analysis, or written at a level often inaccessible to those lacking a strong background in mathematical statistics.Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data is the first accessible, self-contained treatment of hierarchical methods, modeling, and data analysis for spatial and spatio-temporal data. Starting with overviews of the types of spatial data, the data analysis tools appropriate for each, and a brief review of the Bayesian approach to statistics, the authors discuss hierarchical modeling for univariate spatial response data, including Bayesian kriging and lattice (areal data) modeling. They then consider the problem of spatially misaligned data, methods for handling multivariate spatial responses, spatio-temporal models, and spatial survival models. The final chapter explores a variety of special topics, including spatially varying coefficient models.This book provides clear explanations, plentiful illustrations --some in full color--a variety of homework problems, and tutorials and worked examples using some of the field's most popular software packages.. Written by a team of leaders in the field, it will undoubtedly remain the primary textbook and reference on the subject for years to come.

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Hierarchical Modeling and Inference in Ecology: The Analysis of Data from Populations, Metapopulations and Communities Review

Hierarchical Modeling and Inference in Ecology: The Analysis of Data from Populations, Metapopulations and Communities
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Royle & Dorazio (2008): A truly synthetic overview
This book not only illustrates, and presents R and WinBUGS code for, plenty of methods for inference about distribution and abundance in animal and plant populations and communities; it does much more. It presents a truly synthetic overview of these methods and makes the reader understand how they relate to each other. At the same time, the authors succeed extremely well in teaching a modern, "organic way" of statistical modeling -- where one first thinks hard about how the observed data might have arisen via a combination of stochastic processes (the book is about hierarchical models, remember) and then builds a custom statistical model for exactly those processes. This combination of presenting a unifying synthesis of a vast array of methods and showing how to model a study system organically in my view is unique among the currently available statistical ecology books.

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A guide to data collection, modeling and inference strategies for biological survey data using Bayesian and classical statistical methods.This book describes a general and flexible framework for modeling and inference in ecological systems based on hierarchical models, with a strict focus on the use of probability models and parametric inference. Hierarchical models represent a paradigm shift in the application of statistics to ecological inference problems because they combine explicit models of ecological system structure or dynamics with models of how ecological systems are observed. The principles of hierarchical modeling are developed and applied to problems in population, metapopulation, community, and metacommunity systems. The book provides the first synthetic treatment of many recent methodological advances in ecological modeling and unifies disparate methods and procedures.The authors apply principles of hierarchical modeling to ecological problems, including * occurrence or occupancy models for estimating species distribution* abundance models based on many sampling protocols, including distance sampling* capture-recapture models with individual effects* spatial capture-recapture models based on camera trapping and related methods* population and metapopulation dynamic models* models of biodiversity, community structure and dynamics* Wide variety of examples involving many taxa (birds, amphibians, mammals, insects, plants)* Development of classical, likelihood-based procedures for inference, as well asBayesian methods of analysis* Detailed explanations describing the implementation of hierarchical models using freely available software such as R and WinBUGS* Computing support in technical appendices in an online companion web site

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Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS (Wiley Series in Computational Statistics) Review

Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS (Wiley Series in Computational Statistics)
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I try to read at least a couple of statistics books every year and this was one of them for 2009. So far I have been really impressed. If you want a complete introduction to Bayesian statistics, then buy this book. You will find a balanced blend of theory, applications, and the use of the WinBUGS software package all under one roof. The book's treatment of models for count data is notable. Ntzoufras has a nice way of expressing himself that makes the reading move along. I would have no compunction at all about using this book to teach a M.S.-level course for statistics majors. If you are an ecologist, say, then you should probably have both a probability and mathematical statistics course under your belt to fully absorb all that is going on.

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A hands-on introduction to the principles of Bayesian modeling using WinBUGS
Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS provides an easily accessible introduction to the use of WinBUGS programming techniques in a variety of Bayesian modeling settings. The author provides an accessible treatment of the topic, offering readers a smooth introduction to the principles of Bayesian modeling with detailed guidance on the practical implementation of key principles.
The book begins with a basic introduction to Bayesian inference and the WinBUGS software and goes on to cover key topics, including:

Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms in Bayesian inference

Generalized linear models

Bayesian hierarchical models

Predictive distribution and model checking

Bayesian model and variable evaluation

Computational notes and screen captures illustrate the use of both WinBUGS as well as R software to apply the discussed techniques. Exercises at the end of each chapter allow readers to test their understanding of the presented concepts and all data sets and code are available on the book's related Web site.
Requiring only a working knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS serves as an excellent book for courses on Bayesian statistics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the fields of statistics, actuarial science, medicine, and the social sciences who use WinBUGS in their everyday work.

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