Showing posts with label stochastic processes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stochastic processes. Show all posts

Introduction to Probability Models, Ninth Edition Review

Introduction to Probability Models, Ninth Edition
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The first four chapters alone (intro, random variables, conditonal probability, markov chains) are worth the price of the book. The author packs each chapter with very interesting examples and problems. The one I found most interesting was his probabilistic analysis of the 2-SAT and SAT problems of computer science. Here he gives an informal math argument as to why 2-SAT is polynomial time decidable and why SAT should be intractable.
On the other hand, I think someone relatively new to probability theory may find his neat problems and examples a bit too much with a first reading. The book is in its seventh edition, and I think Ross has taken advantage of this by providing newer insights and more interesting problems, but in doing so it may overwhelm the novice.
If you are learning probability for the first or second time, I recommend you supplement this book with Roussas "A Course in Mathematical Statistics". Despite its title, the first 9 chapters give a calculus-based intro to probability. And the rest of the book is *excellent* for a calculus-based intro to statistics.

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A First Course in Stochastic Processes, Second Edition Review

A First Course in Stochastic Processes, Second Edition
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A remarkable well organised work. Every chapter contains all needed definitions and formulas, deep discussions of their meanings, proofs, and examples, all extraordinarily well blended. Also every chapter has two set of problems. The 'elementary problems' require applying the material covered. The 'problems' require to prove results, they provide an excellent ground to develop this skill. Some times the classic format proof-theorem is used, but usually the ideas flow: starting with a problem, introducing necessary definitions and finding a solution eventually a theorem is stated as a natural consequence.
The writing style is similar to the immortal 'Introduction to Probability Theory' and its Applications' by Feller, with a similar mixture of rigorous mathematics and probabilistic intuition. Though 'A First Course...' only reviews the basics, it has some common topics with Feller's and covers more advanced topics.
The style of the book is the perfect opposite of 'Introduction to probability Models' by Sheldon Ross, which is written in a much more flamboyant style, full of surprises and amazement, and requires the constant use of pencil and paper to follow the developments. These two sources can be combined to master the subject, despite the fact that students often find Ross's magnificent work too hard to follow. (Of course, some will say that it is a bad book, and that the professor can't teach...)
Even though 'A First Course...' is rarely used as a textbook (bad marketing?) after taking courses on multivariable calculus and basic probability, an undergraduate student is ready to read this book. Measure theory is barely used, and it is a surprise to see how far can one go using only probabilistic intuition. The book is also well suited to doctoral courses.
The consecutive chapters on Martingales and Brownian Motion are unparalleled, a unique collection of basic examples is used to illustrate results on Stopping Times and Convergence. Also, Measure Theory is introduced at this point in a very appealing manner. These concepts are then used to obtain classical results on Brownian Motion and other topics. Students interested in Stochastic Calculus (not covered in this book) and its many application in Finances, Engineering, Operations Research and Computer Science can acquire solid foundations here.
The chapter on Stationary Processes is also very special, it provides solid foundations for Econometrics and Time Series and it is often quoted in research papers.
In short: an excellent book to acquire solid foundations on Stochastic Processes, the only source I know for a simple and systematic introduction of certain topics.

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The purpose, level, and style of this new edition conform to the tenets set forth in the original preface. The authors continue with their tack of developingsimultaneously theory and applications, intertwined so that they refurbish and elucidate each other.The authors have made three main kinds of changes. First, they have enlarged on the topics treated in the first edition. Second, they have added many exercises and problems at the end of each chapter. Third, and most important, they have supplied, in new chapters, broad introductory discussions of several classes of stochastic processes not dealt with in the first edition, notably martingales, renewal and fluctuation phenomena associated with random sums, stationary stochastic processes, and diffusion theory.

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Financial Modelling with Jump Processes (Chapman & Hall/CRC Financial Mathematics Series) Review

Financial Modelling with Jump Processes (Chapman and Hall/CRC Financial Mathematics Series)
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A book dealing comprehensively with discontinuous asset prices has long been overdue. This is a first attempt to fill the gap in a manner both rigorous and accessible. The reason why it has taken so long for a book of this kind to appear is that price jumps give rise to a host of issues that are simply not present in continuous models such as Black-Scholes. The authors tackle most of them admirably. The book also contains valuable comprehensive bibliography.
Every pioneer can make a mistake. The authors do not shy away from very complicated questions, such as (locally) optimal hedging in the presence of jumps. I'm afraid they haven't done their homework properly in this case. They claim on page 339 "the minimal martingale measure preserves orthogonality", which happens to be true for continuous price processes but it is false in most models with jumps. Pages 340 and 341 go on to compute the locally risk minimizing hedging coefficients based on the false premise. I hope this can be fixed in the next edition.


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WINNER of a Riskbook.com Best of 2004 Book Award!During the last decade, financial models based on jump processes have acquired increasing popularity in risk management and option pricing. Much has been published on the subject, but the technical nature of most papers makes them difficult for nonspecialists to understand, and the mathematical tools required for applications can be intimidating. Potential users often get the impression that jump and Lévy processes are beyond their reach.Financial Modelling with Jump Processes shows that this is not so. It provides a self-contained overview of the theoretical, numerical, and empirical aspects involved in using jump processes in financial modelling, and it does so in terms within the grasp of nonspecialists. The introduction of new mathematical tools is motivated by their use in the modelling process, and precise mathematical statements ofresults are accompanied by intuitive explanations. Topics covered in this book include: jump-diffusion models, Lévy processes, stochastic calculus for jump processes, pricing and hedging in incomplete markets, implied volatility smiles, time-inhomogeneous jump processes and stochastic volatility models with jumps. The authors illustrate the mathematical concepts with many numerical and empirical examples and provide the details of numerical implementation of pricing and calibration algorithms. This book demonstrates that the concepts and tools necessary for understanding and implementing models with jumps can be moreintuitive that those involved in the Black Scholes and diffusion models. If you have even a basic familiarity with quantitative methods in finance, Financial Modelling with Jump Processes will give you a valuable new set of tools for modelling market fluctuations.

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Modelling Fixed Income Securities and Interest Rate Options (2nd Edition) Review

Modelling Fixed Income Securities and Interest Rate Options (2nd Edition)
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This book is a must for any financial engineer interested in learning the HMJ model of interest-rate instruments. The HMJ model is an arbitrage model based on the instaneous forward rates. The book starts with a brief introduction to fixed-income securities followed by a rigorous treatment of binomial trees. Claim replication is then addressed through trading strategies. The instruments treated are coupon bonds,forward,futures,options and exotics. I found useful to derive the mathematical statements as I was reading the book to acquaint myself with the notation and the mathematical concepts. The beauty of the model is worth the effort. It would have been nice to include a more thorough treatment of mortage-backed securities and derivatives subject to default. Other models ( Ho-Lee , Hull-White , Vasicek ) are also briely mentioned. The parameter estimation also deserved more space since a correct estimation is more important to pricing than a clever choice of the model. To conclude: a recommended introduction to HJM + additional readings will allow the financial engineer to grasp the fundamentals of the fixed-income universe.

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This book teaches the basics of fixed-income securities in a way that, unlike competitive texts, requires a minimum of prerequisites.While other books focus heavily on institutional details of the bond market, all of which could easily be learned "on the job," Jarrow is more concerned with presenting a coherent theoretical framework for understanding all basic models.His unified approach-the Heath Jarrow Morton model-under which all other models are presented as special cases, enhances understanding while avoiding repetition.The author's pricing model is widely used in today's securities industry. In this revised edition, the author has added new chapters to enrich coverage, and has modified the order of chapters slightly to smooth the progression of material from simple to complex.Online material will be available with the text, replacing the diskette included in the first edition; lecture notes for instructors will be available on PowerPoint slides.MathWorks has provided a free online, limited version of the MATLAB's financial derivatives toolbox, with which users of the book can apply the theory presented in each chapter.

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Stochastic Partial Differential Equations : A Modeling, White Noise Functional Approach (Probability and Its Applications) Review

Stochastic Partial Differential Equations : A Modeling, White Noise Functional Approach (Probability and Its Applications)
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SUMMARY: This book presents a new approach to stochastic partial differential equations based on white noise analysis. The framework makes heavy use of functional analysis and its main starting point is the Wiener chaos expansion and analogous expansions on different functional spaces (Schwartz spaces).
A stochastic PDE is a PDE containing a random noise term, which may be additive or multiplicative. One of the problems when working with Stochastic PDEs is to define a notion of solution which is meaningfully extendable to the nonlinear case. Problems arises because the noise term is highly irregular: for each sample of the noise, one has a (nonlinear) PDE with a very irregular term in it. In physical terms, one may encounter "ultraviolet" divergences. So, one is first faced with an existence/ unicity problem for such equations. Additionally, one would like to describe probabilitic properties of such solutions.
The method proposed by the authors can be described as follows: first, one expands the noise term in the PDE using a Wiener chaos expansion. Truncating the expansion at a certain order n yields a "regularized" equation in which the noise is smoothened. This can be roughly described as an ultraviolet cutoff. The equation then has a unique solution in an appropriate functional space. The solution of the original SPDE is then defined as the sequence of truncated solutions. In some cases, this sequence may converge in some classical sense in an appropriate function space to a weak or strong solution defined in the usual sense. But, in general, this is not the case and the notion of solution defined by the authors may be different from classical notions.
Although the title contains the word 'modeling', it may look as the abstract definition of solution proposed by the authors may have little to do with the physical notion of solution. One feels a need for a justification why this definition of a solution is physically relevant at all, which I feel is lacking. The authors give some examples, such as the noisy Burgers equation and the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation, but the results predicted for the solutions seem to be different than the ones predicted for example by renormalization group analysis for example regarding the scaling exponents for KPZ. Also, it would be interesting to compare this notion of solution with more classical ones for example using the semigroup/ Green function approach.
The approach proposed bears a strong resemblance to ultraviolet regularization schemes used in renormalization group theory. In fact, this framework may be seenas a probabilistic setting for renormalization methods.Unfortunately there is little discussion of this point in the book.
The first chapters contain an interesting review of white noise expansions and chaos expansions, useful in their own interest.
Overall I recommend this book as interesting for researchers in mathematical and theoretical physics.

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The main emphasis of this work is on stochastic partial differential equations. First the stochastic Poisson equation and the stochastic transport equation are discussed; then the authors go on to deal with the Schrodinger equation, the heat equation, the nonlinear Burgers' equation with a stochastic source, and the pressure equation. The white noise approach often allows for solutions given by explicit formulas in terms of expectations of certain auxiliary processes. The noise in the above examples are all of a Gaussian white noise type. In the end, the authors also show how to adapt the analysis to SPDEs involving noise of Poissonian type.

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Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes Review

Applied Probability and Stochastic Processes
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I randomly ran across this book in my math library trying to find an extra book to help with the difficult Stochastics Process class I was taking. Little did I know I would find a book I value as much as Douglas Kelly's Introduction to Probability. This book has applied problems and examples! It is not the dry, endless pages of confusing equations we have come to expect from Stochastics Processes books. There is something better out there! This book saved me as an undergraduate, and am now looking forward to it living up to my God like expecations as a post grad. If you are a professor, please use this book for you students. It ties together and lets you appreciate many fields such as linear analysis and even graph theory from computer science. This book will not disappoint.

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Probability, Stochastic Processes, and Queueing Theory: The Mathematics of Computer Performance Modeling Review

Probability, Stochastic Processes, and Queueing Theory: The Mathematics of Computer Performance Modeling
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This book is suitable for my graduate studies on computer performance. The author directs us from combinatorics, distribution theory, queue theory to queueing networks in a systematic way. I have read the book at ease for its stepwise elaboration of concepts. However, I have also read with hardship as it requires the readers to possess a good command of mathematics, both pure and applied, in order to go through the book.
For a mathematics graduate studying computer networks, I recommend this book. A novice or a mediocrity should pay more patience to read if not yet at a loss.
This book has aroused my interest and eagerness to know more about computer performance from the viewpoint of queueing and networking. In a word, I enjoy reading this book.

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This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to probability and stochastic processes, and shows how these subjects may be applied in computer performance modelling. The author's aim is to derive the theory in a way that combines its formal, intuitive, and applied aspects so that students may apply this indispensable tool in a variety of different settings. Readers are assumed to be familiar with elementary linear algebra and calculus, including the concept of limit, but otherwise this book provides a self-contained approach suitable for graduate or advanced undergraduate students. The first half of the book covers the basic concepts of probability including expectation, random variables, and fundamental theorems. In the second half of the book the reader is introduced to stochastic processes. Subjects covered include renewal processes, queueing theory, Markov processes, and reversibility as it applies to networks of queues. Examples and applications are drawn from problems in computer performance modelling.

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Modeling, Analysis, Design, and Control of Stochastic Systems (Springer Texts in Statistics) Review

Modeling, Analysis, Design, and Control of Stochastic Systems (Springer Texts in Statistics)
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This is probably ideal as a reference source for a graduate student or professor who knows stochastics very well already.
However, if you are a novice trying to learn about stochastics and want good explanations and examples with an appropriate buildup, I would not recommend the book.
As an example, the review discussion of probability in the first four chapters didn't even come close to comparing with the probability book I used in another class. If you are near a bookstore, you can easily verify this. I imagine that this comparison (or lack thereof) would hold for many other probability textbooks. Also, if presentation makes a difference to you, this is quite minimalist.
Another area that I found lacking is that the answers in the back just provide a numerical answer without any explanation to how solutions were arrived at. While this is often the case for other books, the author did not provide a sufficient base for a novice to work the problems. As a result, most of the end of chapter problems were of little use in helping me better learn the materials. A good workbook or better explanations would be very helpful.
While there are certainly couple areas that I found worthwhile and this does appear to be one of the only books on this niche area (the lack of competition may explain a lot of why the shortcomings exist and why this doesn't have the feel of real textbook), this first edition book needs some serious work to make it truly effective and user friendly.

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An introductory level text on stochastic modelling, suited for undergraduates or graduates in actuarial science, business management, computer science, engineering, operations research, public policy, statistics, and mathematics. It employs a large number of examples to show how to build stochastic models of physical systems, analyse these models to predict their performance, and use the analysis to design and control them. The book provides a self-contained review of the relevant topics in probability theory: In discrete and continuous time Markov models it covers the transient and long term behaviour, cost models, and first passage times; under generalised Markov models, it covers renewal processes, cumulative processes and semi-Markov processes. All the material is illustrated with many examples, and the book emphasises numerical answers to the problems. A software package called MAXIM, which runs on MATLAB, is available for downloading.

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Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling (Stochastic Modeling Series) Review

Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling (Stochastic Modeling Series)
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It is the worst book about stochastic processes I've ever read, it's confusing, if there were concepts clear in your mind after reading the book there won't be anymore. It is a very useful book to burn.

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Quantitative Modeling of Derivative Securities: From Theory To Practice Review

Quantitative Modeling of Derivative Securities: From Theory To Practice
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This is a surprisingly sloppy book written by a known academic in the financial engineering world. That is Marco Avellaneda. At first sight, this book is a good idea. It is suppose to bridge the gap between literature that are too simplified for quants and the high level books that are too mathematically rigorous for pratitioners. However this book is presented in such a sloopy manner that any profit driven company would sack these two authors. There are typo mistakes in almost every page and some fundamental errors. There are numerical examples there are completely wrong. On top of that, who writes a quant book without giving any exercises. The authors should comprehend that mistakes in quantitative books can be very misleading to the reader especially if the reader is trying to learn. If you don't have a Ph.D. in Math, don't read this book. It might do more harm than good.

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Investment Guarantees: The New Science of Modeling and Risk Management for Equity-Linked Life Insurance Review

Investment Guarantees: The New Science of Modeling and Risk Management for Equity-Linked Life Insurance
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As guarantee products are popping up all over the global banking and insurance markets, it is absolutely essential to ensure that the proper financial values are upheld in order to avoid many of the problems that the North American market has faced. 'Investment Guarantees' does a wonderful job of describing these risks in simple enough terms that the pages can be quoted to both financial and non financial people. A very powerful read for those looking to undersand the value of guarantees that are placed on accumulation type insurance products.

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A comprehensive guide to investment guarantees in equity-linked life insuranceDue to the convergence of financial and insurance markets, new forms of investment guarantees are emerging which require financial service professionals to become savvier in modeling and risk management. With chapters that discuss stock return models, dynamic hedging, risk measures, Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation, and much more, this one-stop reference contains the valuable insights and proven techniques that will allow readers to better understand the theory and practice of investment guarantees and equity-linked insurance policies.Mary Hardy, PhD (Waterloo, Ontario, Canada), is an Associate Professor and Associate Chair of Actuarial Science at the University of Waterloo and is a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries and an Associate of the Society of Actuaries, where she is a frequent speaker. Her research covers topics in life insurance solvency and risk management, with particular emphasis on equity-linked insurance. Hardy is an Associate Editor of the North American Actuarial Journal and the ASTIN Bulletin and is a Deputy Editor of the British Actuarial Journal.

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Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems, Second Edition (Chapman & Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science) Review

Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems, Second Edition (Chapman and Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science)
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The book arises from lectures at UNC-CH in a two-semester course on stochastic models. The author has exceptional precision and organization in the classroom, and this comes through in the book. Great book for teachingfrom, as well as learning from. This book also takes a step which more venerable texts, such as the Trivedi book or the Ross series could not -- it has computational excercises suitable for math packages like Mathematica. Thus, the student can be introduced to scientific computer literacy as well as stochastic processes. I recommend this book to anyone interested in teaching today's student, or for preparing themselves for challenges in Operations Research. The book would make an above-average reference as well. Mike Bailey Associate Professor, Naval Postgraduate School

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Based on the author's more than 25 years of teaching experience, Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems, Second Edition covers the most important classes of stochastic processes used in the modeling of diverse systems, from supply chains and inventory systems to genetics and biological systems. For each class of stochastic process, the text includes its definition, characterization, applications, transient and limiting behavior, first passage times, and cost/reward models. Along with reorganizing the material, this edition revises and adds new exercises and examples.New to the Second EditionA new chapter on diffusion processes that gives an accessible and non-measure-theoretic treatment with applications to financeA more streamlined, application-oriented approach to renewal, regenerative, and Markov regenerative processesTwo appendices that collect relevant results from analysis and differential and difference equationsRather than offer special tricks that work in specific problems, this book provides thorough coverage of general tools that enable the solution and analysis of stochastic models. After mastering the material in the text, students will be well-equipped to build and analyze useful stochastic models for various situations.A collection of MATLAB-based programscan be downloaded from the author's websiteand a solutions manual is available for qualifying instructors.

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Modeling Random Processes for Engineers and Managers Review

Modeling Random Processes for Engineers and Managers
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Author James Solberg claims that his book has a non standard presentation for probability and random processes. He is absolutely right! For example, he devotes a whole chapter (Chapter 2) to modeling Markov chains, before doing any of the usual calculation methods (chapter 3).
In other books, a small amount of such material would appear as examples or exercises. But Solberg deems it worthy of a whole chapter, and he specifically states properties that would normally be overlooked. For example, he talks about converting count data into transition matrices, he talks about different possible ways of defining step size, he introduces lumpability to reduce the size of the state space.
The book is full of examples,chosen to illustrate practical uses of the material, or selected to add understanding. This book is student friendly. I lent my copy to a graduate student and after returning the book, he commented that the book greatly improved his understanding of stochastic processes. The book is at a lower level than many other books on the subject, but not much lower. The author's years of experience enable him to recognize where a student would normally have difficulties and the author takes steps to add explantion to enhance understanding. Chapter 8 gives a new path counting method to find limiting probabilities for Markov chains and continuous time Markov processes. Chapters 6 and 7 deal with queueing and queueing networks. The book is consistently well written. I think that this is a splendid book for a nonprobabilist to become introduced to the material. I have never met James Solberg, but the queue on the front cover includes a cheerful man who seems older than the others. I hope that man is Solberg. Even if not, the smile on the man's face comes through in the writing of the book.

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By reducing mathematical detail and focusing on real-world applications, this book provides engineers with an easy-to-understand overview of stochastic modeling. An entire chapter is included on how to set up the problem, and then another complete chapter presents examples of applications before doing any math. A previously unpublished computational method for solving equations related to Markov processes is added. The book shows how to add costs or revenues to the basic probability structures without much additional effort. In addition, numerous examples are included that show how the theory can be used. Engineers will also find explanations on how to formulate word problems into the models that the math worked on.

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